Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 3.911980 4.379276 4.886915 5.480423 6.156646 6.904679 7.796952
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 3.270122 3.896265 4.625935 5.543205 6.671278 8.020626 9.767847
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.847810 3.553611 4.420377 5.571585 7.073071 8.982220 11.621035
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.482283 3.212167 4.146454 5.443167 7.216859 9.587915 13.047869
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.237343 2.986666 3.980639 5.413907 7.457884 10.314134 14.689775
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.031838 2.786658 3.819561 5.359894 7.639421 10.953921 16.260190
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.943462 2.735913 3.853499 5.575748 8.219103 12.217248 18.907080
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.806064 2.600072 3.749312 5.571521 8.458827 12.980396 20.849308
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.676828 2.463531 3.629406 5.526829 8.622864 13.630232 22.671224
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.500119 2.240771 3.359843 5.220638 8.331648 13.500392 23.125863
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.419933 2.159677 3.301254 5.244786 8.582581 14.296352 25.311691
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.377129 2.133215 3.325300 5.404256 9.074383 15.553989 28.504321
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.310293 2.065201 3.279966 5.447827 9.377760 16.526647 31.326709
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.247007 1.998321 3.231184 5.480707 9.664845 17.501358 34.296424
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.187543 1.933184 3.179697 5.502850 9.931920 18.464228 37.377502
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.108246 1.828612 3.052296 5.375079 9.899436 18.832562 39.230681
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.051997 1.759833 2.982035 5.346008 10.053450 19.588128 42.044110
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.996735 1.689026 2.902881 5.292715 10.152387 20.237585 44.706240
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.984173 1.693316 2.959513 5.505498 10.813856 22.156611 50.683622
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.942249 1.641481 2.908701 5.501329 11.019941 23.101855 54.417173
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.898156 1.582855 2.841049 5.457272 11.135289 23.854219 57.777219
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.824881 1.465611 2.654582 5.155415 10.658431 23.188583 57.301401
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.796297 1.431163 2.625634 5.179222 10.909644 24.265708 61.714744